Saudi Arabia is currently facing serious challenges in Yemen. The country, with its modern and equipped army, is trying to drive the Houthis out of the areas under their control, but this battle seems to have turned into an unequal challenge. The Houthis, a paramilitary group with advanced combat tactics, have been enhancing their capabilities for years and can easily withstand Saudi attacks.
Continued Houthi Pressure on Saudi Arabia
Nassr al-Din Amer, the head of the state-controlled Saba news agency under Houthi control, has announced that this group will continue its pressure on Saudi Arabia to break the siege that has been imposed on Yemen for 12 years. Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia has not yet responded fully to these attacks. This raises questions about the future actions of the country.
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Saudi Arabia's Limited Options
Cinzia Bianco, a guest researcher at the European Council on Foreign Relations, pointed out that Saudi Arabia has limited options in the conflict with the Houthis. She stated that one of these options is "escalating the conflict," which could come with heavy costs for Saudi Arabia. Bianco warned that if Saudi Arabia enters into a full-scale war, this situation could turn into an endless conflict, similar to the Yemeni civil war that has led to the worst humanitarian crisis in the world.
Possible Consequences of the Conflict
If a full-scale war occurs, there is also the possibility of Iran entering this conflict. Bianco noted that in such circumstances, this conflict cannot merely be a Yemeni issue. Some experts believe that the United States, given the ongoing crises in the region, is unlikely to take military action against the Houthis at this point. Despite this, about 100 American military advisors have been dispatched to Saudi Arabia to assist in military operations against the Houthis.
Efforts for a Political Solution
Saudi Arabia is seeking to find a political solution to exit this conflict, but it may be too late to choose this option. The Saudi Foreign Ministry, in response to recent attacks, announced that it has decided not to react at this stage and will support the efforts of the Iraqi government. Bianco added that even if an agreement is reached with the Houthis, it will come at a heavy cost for Saudi Arabia.
Ultimately, Salman al-Ansari, a Saudi geopolitical analyst, emphasized that the Yemeni government's military operations against the Houthis are currently underway and are expected to escalate in the coming days. However, he noted that Saudi Arabia will not engage in war without decisive international support. If tensions continue, Saudi Arabia may be forced to enter the war.
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